Market Changes

Homes opened and closed between Jan 2020 and June 2026

District/Borough

Number of New Homes

Number of Closed Homes

Variance

Number of New Beds

Number of Closed beds

Variance

Number of New Homes

Number of Closed Homes

Variance

Number of New Beds

Number of Closed beds

Variance

North Warwickshire

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

0

91

89

2

Nuneaton & Bedworth

1

2

-1

66

30

36

2

0

2

102

0

102

Rugby

0

2

-2

0

46

-46

0

0

0

0

0

0

Warwick

1

2

-1

76

47

29

1

0

1

78

0

78

Stratford

1

4

-3

66

124

-58

2

1

1

148

35

113

Totals

3

10

-7

208

247

-39

6

2

4

419

124

295

Between January 2020 and June 2026, Warwickshire’s care home market for older adults (65+) has experienced a mixed pattern of openings and closures across both residential and nursing provision. Data from the Care Quality Commission (CQC), excluding re-registrations, shows an overall reduction in residential capacity alongside notable growth in nursing care.

Residential Care (65+)

Over this period, there were 3 new residential care homes opened and 10 closures, resulting in a net loss of 7 homes across the county. In terms of bed capacity, 208 new beds were added, but 247 beds were lost, leading to a net reduction of 39 beds.

The impact of these changes varies across districts. Stratford experienced the most significant reduction, with 4 closures and a net loss of 58 beds. Rugby also saw a substantial reduction, with 2 closures and a loss of 46 beds, with no new provision developed. Nuneaton & Bedworth and Warwick each experienced a net loss of one home, although both areas saw some growth in bed numbers overall. North Warwickshire saw no change in residential provision.

Overall, while there has been some new development, this has not kept pace with closures, resulting in a reduction in residential capacity.

Nursing Care (65+)

In contrast, the nursing care sector has seen overall growth. There were 6 new nursing homes opened and 2 closures, resulting in a net increase of 4 homes.

Bed capacity increased significantly, with 419 new nursing beds added and 124 beds closed, resulting in a net increase of 295 beds.

The largest increases in nursing capacity were seen in Stratford (+113 beds), Nuneaton & Bedworth (+102 beds), and Warwick (+78 beds). North Warwickshire saw minimal overall change (+2 beds), while Rugby experienced no change in nursing provision.

Overall, this pattern reflects a shift in market development towards nursing care provision. However, this growth does not fully offset the reduction in residential capacity, particularly in relation to affordable and specialist provision, where gaps in the market remain.

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