Publication detail

Warwickshire is home to a diverse and growing population, with communities that differ in their age, background, experiences and health needs. Understanding who lives in Warwickshire, how our population is changing, and where different groups live helps us plan services, target resources and improve health and wellbeing for everyone.

Explore the Warwickshire’s Population dashboard to discover key insights about Warwickshire's population and the people who make our county unique. Aligned with the life-course JSNA approach, it explores the whole population and then dives into three key age groups:

View the dashboard

Executive summary

Key insights include:

Population estimates

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: 20.6% of the Warwickshire population is aged 65 and over. This ranges from 18% in Rugby to 25% in Stratford-on-Avon.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: There are 372,000 adults aged 18-64 in Warwickshire, representing 58.9% of the population. The proportion of the population in this group is 59%, ranging from 56% in Stratford-on-Avon to 61% in Warwick.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: 20.5% of the Warwickshire population is under 18, despite being a smaller age range. This ranges from 18.5% in Stratford-on-Avon to 22.5% in Rugby.

Population projections

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: Warwickshire's older population is projected to increase 21% from 2022 to over 152,000 by 2032, then grow a further 17% to reach 178,000 by 2047. The proportion aged 65+ is set to increase from 21% in 2022 to 24% in 2047.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: The working age population is projected to increase 10% from 2022 to 369,500 by 2032, then grow a further 11% to reach 440,000 by 2047. Despite this, it will make up a similar proportion of the population, just below 60%.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: The population of 0–17-years-old is projected to increase at the slowest rate, growing just 6.5% by 2047 to 130,000. The proportion aged under 18 is set to decrease from 20% in 2022 to 17.4% in 2047.

Sexual orientation

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: In Warwickshire older adults had the smallest number saying they were LGB+ in the census, but 8% of those aged 65+ chose not to answer the question, meaning the LGB+ figures are an under representation.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: 92% of Warwickshire's 25-64 population said they were straight in the census, 5.5% did not answer that question, and 2.65% said they were LGB+.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: Within Warwickshire the 16-24 age range has the highest proportion of respondents identifying as LGB+ of any group at 6.9%.

Gender identity

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: The 65+ population in Warwickshire had the smallest proportion saying their gender identity is different from that registered at birth, at 0.2%. 6% didn’t answer the question, slightly higher than other age groups.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: In the 25-64 age range, 0.34% reported a gender identity different from birth. The largest category of gender identity different from birth was 'all other gender identities'.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: The gender identity question was only asked of those 16 and over, with data available on those aged 16-24. This age group had the largest proportion reporting a gender identity different from birth, at 0.8%. Warwick District had the highest proportion of 16-24 year olds with a gender identity different from birth, at 0.94%, and North Warwickshire the lowest at 0.6%.

Ethnicity

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: Warwickshire's population aged 65+ in 2021 was 96.1% White and 3.9% minority ethnic groups. The 'Asian' ethnic group is the second largest at 2.78%, while 'Other ethnic group', 'Black', and 'Mixed ethnic groups' have smaller proportions. This age range is less ethnically diverse than younger groups.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: Warwickshire's population aged 18 to 64 years in 2021 was 88.4% White, with 11.6% minority ethnic groups. The largest minority group was 'Asian' at 7.2%, while 'Black', 'Mixed ethnic groups', and 'Other ethnic group' are similar in size.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: Warwickshire's population aged 17 and under in 2021 was 84% White, with 16% minority ethnic groups. The 'Asian' ethnic group was the second largest at 7.1%, while 'Other ethnic group' is the smallest. This age group is the most ethnically diverse within Warwickshire but still has lower proportions of minority ethnic groups when compared to England.

Disability

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: In 2021, 33% of those aged 65+ in Warwickshire reported a disability. More females in this age group reported a disability than males (35% vs 31%) and disability levels increased with age to a high of 58% in those aged 85+.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: In 2021, 14% of those aged 18-64 in Warwickshire reported a disability, lower than England at 15.5%. More females in this age group reported a disability than males (16.4% vs 12.4%) and there was variation within Warwickshire with Nuneaton & Bedworth recording the highest at 17% and Warwick the lowest at 13%.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: In 2021, 7% of those aged 17 and under in Warwickshire reported a disability. There were regional differences, with Nuneaton & Bedworth at 7.9% of the population reporting a disability compared with 6.1% in Warwick.

Religion

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: In 2021, 79% of those aged 65+ in Warwickshire reported being religious, with that made up of a majority categorised as 'Christian' at 76% and 3% other religion. Compared with younger age groups, older residents are much more likely to report a religion, although the proportion reporting 'no religion' has grown from 3.6% in 2001 to 16% in 2021.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: In 2021, 53% of those aged 18-64 reported as being religious, with 42% reporting no religion. The proportion reporting no religion varied across the county; in Warwick it's the largest category at 44% and in Rugby it's the lowest at 39.5%. The proportion of this age group reporting as religious has been decreasing over time from 79% in 2001 to 67% in 2011. The largest religious category overall was 'Christian' at 45.5%.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: In 2021, 47.6% of those aged 17 and under in Warwickshire reported no religion, which was similar to the proportion reporting as religious (46.3%), while a further 6.2% didn't answer the question.

Marriage and civil partnerships

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: In 2021, 95% of those aged 65+ in Warwickshire are either currently, or have been previously, married or in a civil partnership; 61% are currently married or in a civil partnership, with the other 34% either divorced, separated or widowed. Over time, the proportion reporting divorced has increased from 2.6% in 1991 to 11% in 2021. In the same period, those reporting 'widowed' shrank from 35.5% to 23%.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: In 2021, a third of all those aged 25-64 in Warwickshire had never been married or in a civil partnership, with the other two thirds either currently married, divorced/separated or widowed. This is the highest on record, and much higher than the 13% recorded in 1991. It ranges from 29.5% in Stratford-on-Avon to 35% in Warwick and Nuneaton & Bedworth.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: In the 2021 Census, the question on marital/civil partnership status was asked of those aged 16+. Of those aged 16-24, almost all reported never being married or in a civil partnership (99%). The proportion of this population who have been married or in a civil partnership has shrunk from 10.5% in 1991 to 1% in 2021.

Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD)

Healthy Ageing

Healthy Ageing: The Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Index (IDAOPI) measures the proportion of people aged 60+ in a specific area who experience income deprivation. Nuneaton & Bedworth has the most LSOAs in the top 20% most deprived for IDAOPI in Warwickshire.

Thriving Adults

Thriving Adults: The income and employment domains are two key, highly weight components used to measures deprivation in England. For both measures, Nuneaton & Bedworth has the largest number of LSOAs in the top 20% most deprived in Warwickshire.

Empowering Futures

Empowering Futures: The Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index (IDACI) measures the proportion of children aged 0-15 living in income-deprived households. Nuneaton and Bedworth is the area with the largest number of LSOAs in the 20% most deprived, with just over 15% of its LSOAs falling in the 20% most deprived.

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